A New Great Wall - Chinese WW2 TL

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Soldiers of the Republic of China in 1942

A Brief Introduction to the Sino-Japanese War

By Liu Yuanming

When we talk about the “eleven years of resistance against Japan”, we need to pay special attention to the multiple conflicts that made up this war, as well as the overarching theme of World War 2 in general. The Sino-Japanese War is quite unlike any other in the modern history of our country. It was not only a war of resistance, but a revolutionary war of unification. At the sacrifice of almost twenty million compatriots, our country made the leap from the so-called “Sick Man of Asia” to the established and recognized world power we are today. In this series of lectures, we will cover the history and background of this war.

Because we are dealing with a relatively recent historical period, for which there is a vast body of writing in existence, it is possible for scholars not only in our country but around the world to do their own research and come up with their own interpretations of the Sino-Japanese War. For instance, some of the best research is conducted in American universities.

One area in which we Chinese have an edge, however, is in connecting the Sino-Japanese War with deeper trends in the history of China and the greater Asian region from antiquity to modern times. This is important to take into consideration in a general sense, even though our lectures here will focus on the immediate events and implications of the Sino-Japanese War, rather than attempt to find its place in the 5000-year history of our nation.

The term “eleven years of resistance against Japan” that we see and hear in books and movies, and that many of your teachers in high school may have used, is not entirely correct. The period of hostilities between China and Japan actually lasted about 17 years, from the 610 Incident in 1932 to the liberation of the Northeast and Marshall Zhang Xueliang’s visit to his hometown on August 8, 1949.

Why do we call it “eleven years of resistance against Japan”, then? The most common explanation is that May 1943 is when the Japanese Central China Expeditionary Army surrendered with his forces in Wuhan, causing the whole theater to collapse. 1943 was when Zhang Xueliang and his staff launched the Hundred Divisions Offensive that involved over a million men across the entire frontline. The following months saw a complete reversal of the military situation as the remaining Japanese armies simply got their trains and ships and fled. Nanjing and Shanghai, which we had earlier defended with so many sacrifices, were liberated with minimal fighting. The second Battle of Beijing, similarly, was mostly fireworks set by the local population to greet the returning Northeast Army seven years after the Japanese took it in the Great Wall Incident. Even though the Northeast Three Provinces remained under occupation by the Japanese Guandong Army until 1949, it is hardly surprising that most people in the rest of the country felt that China was victorious at that time. Because it sounds more prestigious to consider our victory to have happened when we liberated Beijing, and not when we slowly waited for the last elements of the Guandong Army to freeze to death on the plains of the Northeast, we like to call the war a “eleven-year war” rather than the “seventeen-year war”.

Finally, there is the issue of whether to call the war the “Anti-Japanese War” or simply the “Sino-Japanese War”. Of course, the former is far more common. However, I believe that for scholarly purposes, we should refrain from its use because of the strong sentiment it carries, which is not appropriate for serious historical study. Furthermore, over fifty years have gone by since the end of the war and there is no longer any need for ill will between the Chinese and Japanese.

Because this is in many ways an introductory survey course, we will cover the events of the Sino-Japanese War in a primarily chronological manner. During the first few lectures, we will explain the historical background of the war, particularly in regards to three major factors: The Republic of China, which was led at the time of the 610 Incident by Jiang Jieshi and his warlord coalition, the Empire of Japan, which was undergoing its own conflict between moderate and ultranationalist forces in the government and military, and finally, the rise of the patriotic movement in Northern China and the rise of Marshal Zhang Xueliang, who passed away just a few years ago at the age of 100.

We will start with the 610 Incident and the context of Japanese aggression in Northeast and North China. They may be less popular nowadays, but many of you are doubtless familiar with films like “Heroes of the Black Dragon” or “The Students’ War”. Let me tell you right now that moving and tragic as these films are, they do not even convey a fraction of the suffering sustained by our Northeastern compatriots during the sixteen years of occupation.

Beijing University, Republic of China

May 2003


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This is a TL that I have been planning on and off for a few months. This is essentially going to be the Great Patriotic War of China, and as such, I find today, the 73rd anniversary of the Nazi invasion of the Soviet Union, a suitable time to begin our counterfactual history of World War Two in Asia.
 
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I was aware Wuhan was the turning point. I wasn't aware that it was a situation where the Japanese were almost losing, however.
 
I was aware Wuhan was the turning point. I wasn't aware that it was a situation where the Japanese were almost losing, however.
The battle of Wuhan you're thinking about happened in 1938. The one mentioned in the update is the Second Battle of Wuhan.
 
I'm half surprised that 'only' 20 million people died in this ATL Sino-Japanese War. That's roughly the casualty count of OTL's war, when that lasted only half as long.

Not quite sure what the PoD is, or the "610" incident.

Also, I'd thought (may be wrong) that Manchuria was a food exporter for Japan, so starving it out might be problematic.
 
Also, I'd thought (may be wrong) that Manchuria was a food exporter for Japan, so starving it out might be problematic.
When the Chinese mechanized divisions got into Manchuria and routed the Japanese, the defenders refused to surrender and proved difficult to weed out. By that point Japan was already losing the political and economic will to fight the war anyway, so they weren't in a position to force the issue.
 
I meant more that Manchuria was a net food producer, so starving it out was slightly problematic (like trying to starve out the US Great Plains.)

If the Chinese mechanized divisions took most of the agricultural regions though, that would easily explain it.

Also, the presence of Chinese mechanized divisions makes me wonder how in the world China managed to develop a sufficient industry/infrastructure for that despite being at war with Japan since 1932.
 
The Tl won't cover it, so I'll explain what the PoD is right now. Basically, Zhang Xueliang, son of the Manchurian warlord Zhang Zuolin, is a slightly different person than he is IOTL. The butterflies cause changes initially in his career and then influence minor regional developments starting in the mid-1920s. There will be many updates that touch upon the man, so all will be clear when it is time.

problems in retaking Manchuria
This will be explained in the final updates.

Sovyets

Is Mao alive or is this a KMT/CCP unified wank :p
Mao died sometime between 1930 and 1934 in one of the KMT's extermination campaigns. He is known as one of the "rural" revolutionaries but is not particularly famous. His son, Mao Anying, is better-known ITTL.

Good start.

How far are you going with this?
Thanks.
This thread is concerned with the events and background of the Japanese invasion of Manchuria, so 1920s to 1934 or so. The whole TL should go to about 1950; there will of course be some epilogue stuff too.
 
As a Kaiserreich Dev for Hearts of Iron and Darkest Hour, I always love a good Zhang Xueliang story. He was a real piece of work!
 
The Tl won't cover it, so I'll explain what the PoD is right now. Basically, Zhang Xueliang, son of the Manchurian warlord Zhang Zuolin, is a slightly different person than he is IOTL. The butterflies cause changes initially in his career and then influence minor regional developments starting in the mid-1920s. There will be many updates that touch upon the man, so all will be clear when it is time.
I always had a soft spot for the Manchurian tiger from OTL, I will be watching this TL closely.
 
Thanks for some of the background information and the POD. Look forward to more when you have a chance.
 
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Cavalryman of the Japanese Guandong Army

The 610 Incident

Today we'll cover the 610 Incident and the initial Japanese invasion of China, more specifically, the Northeast. Over 6 million people lost their lives during the occupation in these three provinces, which remained in enemy hands for seventeen years. Considering the population at the time, this means that every seventh person died. This region was also the site of the first major engagements with the enemy forces and the debut of Marshall Zhang Xueliang as a military commander. For the whole country, the 610 Incident was a turning point. It made clear the Japanese militarists' intentions regarding China— to turn it into their colony as the British had done to India a century earlier— bringing our nation out of factionalism and warlordism and into unified action.

Sometimes historians joke that World War 2 in Asia was started by Koreans and ended by Koreans. The idea is that the 610 Incident was caused by a riot between Korean and Chinese laborers in Andong, and then that the war against Japan only truly ended when the Korean independence fighters drove the colonial rulers off the peninsula.

However long we determine the greater struggle between China and Japan to be, the invasion of Manchuria was indeed precipitated by such a riot. On June 3, 1932, a group of Chinese coal miners returning to their home in Andong found the train station occupied by twice as many Korean coolies. Some petty argument between the two groups turned into a full-blown fistfight. The Japanese owned the railway, and so their police got involved too. Things escalated from there: Andong was the base of a local Chinese militia. As the fight progressed, some men from the militia brought weapons to bear against both the Koreans and the police.

This wasn't just a minor conflict, but an explosion of pent-up resentment between the nationalities involved. The Chinese mob at the train station turned into a demonstration generally demanding that the foreigners be expelled from the city. The Chinese received reinforcements from increasing numbers of militiamen, and they indeed drove the Japanese and Koreans out of the station and across an iron rail bridge half a kilometer away, into Sinuiju, Korea. By nighttime, however, the Japanese police called in troops from the Guandong garrison, and the station was cleared by early the next morning.

In the following days, Japanese troops and police patrolled the town in search of militiamen. Several hundred men were arrested. Many were beaten and some were killed. Most of the militia had already dispersed and gone into hiding. When they saw the increasing Japanese presence, they left town under various forms of cover to secretly organize in the fields.

For several days, the Guandong garrison did nothing. Then, they leapt into action. A notice was given out along the railways, which stated that due to anti-Japanese violence and illegal militia action, Japanese troops from the Manchurian and Korean garrisons would be deployed to pacify areas of so-called "bandit activity".

The news was announced on June 10, even though the Guandong Army had in fact begun to penetrate Chinese sovereign territory on the 8th and 9th. Moreover, June 10th is when the Japanese marched into Shenyang, so the invasion became known as the 610 Incident.

You may be wondering how the Japanese just walked into Shenyang so easily. There are three main reasons. First, they controlled railroads in the provinces of Liaoning and Jilin, which made it possible for their regiments to move around and occupy urban areas at will. Shenyang, Changchun, and Jilin were all taken this way. Second, the Northeast Army was in disarray following the coup by Yang Yuting, which paralyzed its ability to react. Lastly, the Japanese troops possessed far better discipline, weapons, and intelligence. They knew where most of our forces were and, based on their commanders, the likelihood of their resistance. As it were, most of the Northeast Army commanders did not resist and their divisions disintegrated.

Despite the failure of the Northeast Army to put up resistance, this does not mean that nobody stood to fight the invaders. We mentioned the Andong militia earlier, and how they dispersed into the countryside after the skirmish at the train station. There were other, larger militias in existence as well. Many of them had been active since the days of the 'Old Marshal' Zhang Zuolin, and were known for being well-organized and composed of patriots. Some common sources of militiamen included bandits, socialist revolutionaries, unemployed workers, and even men from the Northeast Army. Many of these people had either been victims of Japanese imperialism or were aware of the threat to their families and the nation, so they were eager to resist the invasion of the three provinces.

But a bunch of small, weak armed groups, their enthusiasm notwithstanding, does no good if they are just a bunch of scattered twigs. In order to fight the Japanese, they would have to band together and coordinate well. With so many different personalities and motivations, the challenge was indeed great. So who was the officer who rose to lead the patriotic militias? Let's find out in the next installment, "The Young Marshal".
 
You still have my interest and I wish more was already written. Please keep up the good work.
 
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Zhang Xueliang in 1928

The Young Marshal

Zhang Xueliang was the son of Zhang Zuolin, regional governor of the Northeast from the time of the 1912 Revolution to his assassination by the Guandong Army in 1928. We call Zhang Zuolin the 'Old Marshal' and 'Zhang Xueliang' the 'Young Marshal', but in fact Zhang Xueliang did not officially take over his father's position as head of the Northeast Army. He was a lieutenant general and commanded the Northeast Army Guards Division, a force of 20,000 men. The rank instead went to Guo Songling, who had been Zhang Zuolin's senior deputy and one of his best commanders.

Guo Songling was a political opportunist. Even though he had been Zhang Xueliang's mentor, Guo feared the Old Marshal's son and sought to isolate him. To this end, Guo built up a network of civilian officials, led by the infamous Yang Yuting to administer the Northeast region.

Some people ask why Guo Songling didn't just rule directly, the way his old boss Zhang Zuolin had; after all, didn't he have control over the military? The answer is mostly likely that he feared becoming the next target of assassination by Guandong Army officers. Indeed, in the years following the death of the Old Marshal, the Northeast administration as a whole appeared to warm up to the Japanese.

The conventional view of Yang Yuting and his ilk is that they were despicable traitors, but let us put ourselves in their shoes— who wants an exploding traincar to become their coffin? The problem of Japanese imperialism was something that anyone in power at that time would have to confront. Guo Songling would discover this the hard way, less than two months after his 1932 military coup against the Yang clique.

Zhang Xueliang, meanwhile, did not remain passive while Guo Songling and others conspired to remove him from the political scene. His father's traincar had been bombed on September 18, 1928, on orders of an officer from the Guandong Army. That day, the junior Zhang was attending a symposium right here in Beijing. His intent was not, however, to hear the lectures of professors, but to meet with representatives of the Nationalist Party. One need not imagine his feelings upon finding about his fathers death— it is written down in a letter to one of his staff officers, in which he describes an "unparalleled sense of urgency to restore the integrity of the Chinese fatherland."

In comparison to his barely literate father, who was of bandit origins, Zhang Xueliang was educated in both Chinese and Western ways. Between 1921 and 1923, he studied at a military academy in Munich. In the months before his return to China, Zhang devoted much attention the nascent German and Italian fascist movements, which he heard about from his fellow cadets. These movements informed the young Zhang's ideas about state power and national ideology. Over ten years later, he would return to Germany to see the Nazi flag flying over the Reichstag.

Back in China, Zhang participated in the warlord conflicts that erupted in northern China, serving as an officer in his father's army. Though by all accounts he was a competent leader, his image was more colored by the ideological nature of his Guards Division, which by the time of his father's death resembled a political party. Soldiers of Zhang's regiments often showed up at anti-Japanese demonstrations, even though the official policy was to reign in Chinese national sentiment, while Zhang and his subordinates met and collaborated with non-governmental groups, including organized labor and socialist revolutionaries, groups were often at odds with the traditional power structure. Zhang Xueliang also dealt with militarists outside the Northeast; for instance, following his father's assassination, one of the first people he contacted the Christian socialist general Feng Yuxiang, who ruled Henan Province.

In part due to Zhang Xueliang's unconventional liaison efforts, many armed militias sprouted up in the three provinces of the Northeast. Some of them were nothing more than bandits, but others, particularly the large and successful ones, had genuine revolutionary and patriotic roots. I'll later describe the most significant of these militias in greater detail, but for now what we need to know is that Zhang Xueliang's Guards Division had men involved in all of them at the time of the 610 Incident.

So we see that while Zhang Xueliang had limited official power, his influence among the common folk was not small. Because people came to understand that he was being squeezed out of the normal power structures, they trusted him in a way that conventional officials could only dream of. Because his father had been killed by the Japanese, the patriots were convinced that his nationalist rhetoric must represent his genuine feelings. In September 1931, mere months before Guo Songling's coup against the Yang clique, Zhang Xueliang formed the Northeast Volunteer Army (NEVA), which nominally combined 90% of the existing militias into a single command structure.

Guo Songling's coup against the ruling Yang Clique occurred in April 1932. The Guandong Army took swift action in June. Though Japanese imperialist military factions had long been intent on snatching the Northeast from us, what was it that inspired them to make their move at this time in particular?


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As a notice, I'll be attending a wedding out of town, so I won't be able to update anything until the middle of next week. Have patience, throw out ideas, or just read.

EDIT: This section has been retconned on July 4, 2014. Changes have been made to the relative political positions of Guo Songling and the Yang Yuting civil coalition, and brief mention has been made of Feng Yuxiang.
 
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So if Guo Songling is still alive until the 1930s, this implies that the POD must be before the Anti-Fengtian War, because Guo clearly hasn't betrayed Zhang in TTL. Looking at Zhang Xueliang's bio, looks like he went to Japan in 1921 in OTL, so might the POD be that he goes to study in Germany instead? (IIRC some GMD members, including Liao Zhongkai's son, studied in 德国 so it is not too outlandish that Zhang Zuolin would send his son there.)

Two more points of interest: the description of Chiang Kai-shek's regime as a "warlord coalition", not too inaccurate in OTL, but indicating the lack of relative importance compared to the Young Marshal's volunteer army. Also, no mention yet of Feng Yuxiang or his Guominjun. Not enough info to speculate, really, but as Zhang Xueliang seems to be taking Feng's place as leader of the anti-Japanese volunteer armies, it seems like something must have happened to marginalize Feng early on.

All in all, interesting stuff. I'll be reading. :) 加油!
 
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