Churchill going on about the soft underbelly of europeWith how it is written I can see Churchill being in favour of a 2nd peninsula campaign to try and get the entirety of Spain to rise up… How realistically the people of Spain would do that is anyone’s guess.
The one thing in favor of carving out pieces of Spain is that unlike Germany and even Italy there’s no realpolitik need to keep it intact as a buttress against Soviet power. Heck maybe keeping it divided and weak could be a boon to Portugal, assuming that does indeed become a theater of this war.
The one thing in favor of carving out pieces of Spain is that unlike Germany and even Italy there’s no realpolitik need to keep it intact as a buttress against Soviet power. Heck maybe keeping it divided and weak could be a boon to Portugal, assuming that does indeed become a theater of this war.
I'd think that that would only result in Castille falling to communism (or maybe some kind of falangism making a comeback) after the war. You don't take away territory considered integral to the nation, and that also has a good chunk, if not most, of the country's industry, betray the allies you had in said country in the process, and expect things to be fine afterwards.
You misunderstand, the reason why Allies didn't go whole hog and carve out Germany into more states to break Prussian militarism for all time is because of the need to keep it nearly intact for Cold War purposes. That was the realpolitik consideration. Spain is on the margins of Europe and so slicing off Catalonia to reward the resistance movements there would thus be less obstructed by a need to keep the country intact as a bulwark against Soviet (or alternatively, NATO) power. Not saying that they would, but it's somewhat more likely that they could. It also depends on who exactly are the people rising up in Spain and committing themselves to the Allies against the Axis. If it is regionalists, maybe they do want some balkanization, for their home region. Alternatively if it's localized leftists maybe the Soviets are the ones who want to split off the red Catalans or whomever to get their East Germany West on the Mediterranean."Realpolitik" likewise states "You DO NOT unnecessarily piss off people to 'show your strength' because they might decide tomorrow that they prefer to ally themselves with your geopolitical rivals because that's what usually happens when you piss off people AND at the same time demand them to support you."
If starvation and chaos are happening in Spain Portuguese neutrality may not mean much. They may not have any choice but to join the Allies.I am sure that any Allied invasion of Spain will start through Portugal they are if memory serves me right one of Englands oldest Allies.
Spain will suffer a lot of pain for having invaded Gibraltar hopefully when the fighting is over the Allies will force Spain to relinquish any and all claims to
Plus, the Atlantic Wall just got stretched to Gibraltar, with a massive hole the size of Portugal. The Axis can't leave it to chance for Portugal to get strong armed into the Allies. Which they'd absolutely be trying to do with invasion plans being written up like with Norway.If starvation and chaos are happening in Spain Portuguese neutrality may not mean much. They may not have any choice but to join the Allies.
That's what I was thinking, Hitler trying to in his mind preempt the Portuguese from joining the Allies by invading them and then well history just repeating itself.I think it's more likely that if there is a conflict through Portugal it will be Hitler ordering Franco to invade Portugal rather than Salazar drinking the British koolaid and trying to launch an invasion of Spain through Extremadura.
Salzar was pro-British, not suicidal: he would know very well that in the event of a conflict with Spain he would see at least half of his own country devastated long before any hypothetical British aid arrived (if there is any aid, of course).
So he's not going to fight that war unless someone (for example, Hitler launching an invasion of Portugal from Spain with his Iberia Korps, dragging the Spanish army with him) forces him to. Although if it has to fight this war, Portugal certainly will.
As for invading from Portugal... well, the terrain in the Extremadura area is so harsh that even today communication is very difficult, so in 1940 it is even worse.
Is the most likely development of this situation.That's what I was thinking, Hitler trying to in his mind preempt the Portuguese from joining the Allies by invading them and then well history just repeating itself.
Who'd you think the British would send to Iberia as commander?
Olivença surely, but I doubt Portugal wants more.I suppose if Portugal is invaded and ravaged by a Spanish/Nazi invasion at the very least they will want Olivenca back once the war is over.
An artillery company is more commonly called a battery.while Kübler’s nearly thirty artillery companies relentlessly pounded the ‘rock’ from ground.
Man, nothing gets by people on this website lol. I’ll fix it in a bit, glad you like the story though.I got a late start reading this. Great work so far. Not sure if someone else has made this point:
An artillery company is more commonly called a battery.
The best title for a spinoff timeline.East Germany West on the Mediterranean.