Lee Harvey Oswald is takes the stand he
1) Denies everything even easily verified information
2) Although he denies killing JFK he calls him a "Capitalist tool"
3) Declares Fidel Castro as the "true hero of the working man"
4) Spouts off a lot of Marxist rhetoric on the stand
BTW I think this is the most likely scenario.
now
5) How quickly is Oswald convicted?
6) Can his lawyer successfully plead NGI?
7) How quickly does he get executed?
8) Is there a new Red Scare?
9) Does a war break out between the US and Cuba?
10) Does Moscow throw Havana under the bridge or does WWIII break out?
5- Quickly, very quickly. I suspect the Jury would be out about one or two hours. (Although that might change if they do the sentencing at the same time, nowadays they break it down into separate phases of the trial. Does anyone know? If they combine the two phases of the trial it will probably be longer, say 4-6 hours.)
6- Unlikely as Oswald would oppose that and so would Henry Wade, the Dallas DA. Oswald's behavior never struck me as something that would rise to the level of legal insanity.
7- Guessing the trial sometime in 1964 or 1965, (I personally believe it would be in late 1964 as the Powers that Be in Dallas would want a quick trial.) the appeals Courts probably putting his case in the front of the line and not dawdling on making a decision- I guess we are looking at an execution in 1967 or 1968. There was some discussion in another thread earlier on this where the question of whether or not
Fuhrman v Georgia would act to halt his execution. I take the position that it would not for Oswald personally. I think if the
Fuhrman decision happened in TTL, it could very well be decided in such a way that Oswald is not helped or delayed until after his execution. Illinois has a similar situation with William Gacy as the attempts to repeal the death penalty there never gained traction until he had been executed.
8- Maybe. Nothing as bad as what happened in the 1919-1920s or 1946- 1950s time frame, but I think there would have to be some fallout from Oswald actions.
9- Probably not, LBJ was scared that the situation could spiral out of control if foreign involvement was proven/believed to be involved in the assassination. I think he would keep a tight lid and prevent any steps that would lead to World War 3. Of course if some concrete evidence emerged of ACTUAL Cuban involvement in the murder, well Katie bar the Door then.
10- Moscow only throws Havana under the bus if concrete evidence emerges of ACTUAL Cuban involvement in the murder. Otherwise, Moscow might keep a tighter leash on what Castor does, but no real change from OTL.