WI: Nicholas II was a great general?

In reality Emperor Nicholas II was not well-suited for rulership and was not involved much in the practical management of the Russian army during WW1, despite a (mostly symbolic) decision to assume the role of commander in chief after the Great Retreat he left most decisions to his chief of staff. However what if upon arriving at STAVKA HQ with Alexei in September 1915 and personally taking command at the advice of Rasputin... Tsar Nicholas turns out to actually be really good at the job.

In fact military command turns out to be the one area where the normally indecisive Tsar thrives. Whatever qualities come together to create great generals and strategic geniuses in history, it turns out the Tsar possesses them, becoming an active and strangely competent military leader. To a degree that Tsar Nicholas could regularly make the rolls of 'Best 20th century generals' lists.

We can justify it somewhat by saying in this tl Nicholas had a lifelong secret interest in military history and spent much of his life studying military readings in private to the determent of productively running the empire. Sort of similar his ancestors Tsars Peter III and Paul I (who also both ended overthrown), except with the talent to back it up. History pre-1915 remains unchanged since he never made a public deal of his hobby and his advisors didn't pay much attention to his advice when he tried to dabble.

The tradeoff is that while Nicholas turns out to be sort of a military savant, he remains as clueless when it comes to politics and domestic discontent as historical. Additionally while he can nudge the Entente's grand strategy as a HoS & C-in-C, he lacks context to directly provide advice on France or Britain's fronts.

So:

-What could a militarily brilliant Nicholas do to change the situation? Militant savant or not, he's still only 1 man (although one with the powers of an autocrat and an eye for identifying talented military subordinates) commanding one of the largest frontlines in history. Even with the benefit of hindsight the conclusion of most western commenters is that the German army is so overpowering the only hope is surrender or a miracle.

-Could military success (or at least avoiding some of the more embarrassing debacles) provide the prestige to postpone the overthrow of the Romanovs? Historically Nicholas will only have only have a year and a half before being ousted in February 1917, so if he makes any changes it will have to be by then to extend his tenure.

-Assuming Russia manages to survive WW1, once the war is over he'll keep his military skills, but its back to the same old politics. Whether he wins or loses the war how is history supposed to reconcile a Tsar that was a genius in the military sphere but an amateur in the domestic sphere.

-If all efforts are in vain and a Russian Civil War still happens, a military-minded Tsar could be a real asset for the White Army in this tl.

-Seeing how the whole idea was Rasputin's in the first place, if Generalissimo Nicholas works out better than expected has the Mad Monk been proven right yet again?
 

FBKampfer

Banned
Not a whole lot honestly. Most of the Russian shortcomings were tactical and logistical in nature.

You could breed the perfect general with the genes of Sun Tzu, Joan of Arc, Gneisenau, Von Manstien, Eisenhower, and Bradley, educate him in all of the finest military academies, and have Patton, Rommel, and Robert E Lee be his personal tutors, and he'd still be fairly boned leading the Russian army by the end of 1915.

A LOT of their frontline units got mauled, and they lost a LOT of equipment, and even with foreign production, and straight up buying off-the-rack rifles in their 7.62x54 cartridge, and they still had trouble getting enough rifles for their soldiers. Their coordination between units was abysmal, and they had a severe deficit of heavy machine guns, and artillery.

Per man they were performing far below the Ottomans, the "sick man of Europe".

And that's not even getting to the problem of moving troops around at a strategic or operational level, which the Germans excelled at (in fact was the basis of their doctrine dating back to the old school Prussian kingdom. Even by the 1800's German had already developed a word for the encompassing concept; bewegunskrieg).


In fact, I can't really think of an example from the Eastern Front where the immediate reaction is "the Russian general was an idiot" instead of "Jesus the Russian logistics were FUBAR".
 
Not a whole lot honestly. Most of the Russian shortcomings were tactical and logistical in nature.

You could breed the perfect general with the genes of Sun Tzu, Joan of Arc, Gneisenau, Von Manstien, Eisenhower, and Bradley, educate him in all of the finest military academies, and have Patton, Rommel, and Robert E Lee be his personal tutors, and he'd still be fairly boned leading the Russian army by the end of 1915.

A LOT of their frontline units got mauled, and they lost a LOT of equipment, and even with foreign production, and straight up buying off-the-rack rifles in their 7.62x54 cartridge, and they still had trouble getting enough rifles for their soldiers. Their coordination between units was abysmal, and they had a severe deficit of heavy machine guns, and artillery.

Per man they were performing far below the Ottomans, the "sick man of Europe".

And that's not even getting to the problem of moving troops around at a strategic or operational level, which the Germans excelled at (in fact was the basis of their doctrine dating back to the old school Prussian kingdom. Even by the 1800's German had already developed a word for the encompassing concept; bewegunskrieg).


In fact, I can't really think of an example from the Eastern Front where the immediate reaction is "the Russian general was an idiot" instead of "Jesus the Russian logistics were FUBAR".

Mostly agree, but Nikolai Ivanov, Alexei Kuropatkin, Paul von Rennenkampf, Dmitry Shcherbachev, Nikolai Yanushkevich, Yakov Zhilinski and Alexei Evert were pretty bad. Not saying there were not worse lot in the British or French armies, but those two forces could afford to have bad generals to a higher degree than Russia.
 
How Long before 1914 does Russia have to start improving their logistics organisation and infrastructure for it to make a material difference?
 
If February revolution even happens, it'd be less of a bloodless coup d'etat like OTL, and more like an actual (short) civil war.
Imagine that tsar manages to partially reverse great retreat. What does it tell everyone? It's: "Our tsar is great, he just has bad ministers and generals". So it's gonna be hard for disloyal officials to devise a plan to overthrow him, because the only semi-plausible excuse they had, that tsar was costing them victory in war, ITTL would be utter nonsense to everyone. Field commanders by nature are loyal to their commander in chief, even moreso if he's effective, and ITTL would be even harder to subvert.
Let's say he's still ambushed and captured by Guchkov and conspirators. Even OTL it was nasty affair that stained provisional government and contributed to its instability (overthrowing your government in time of war is big no-no). ITTL I can see Danilov or Ivanov sending army detachment to restore order and free their commander in chief.
 
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